Forex

When evaluating the forex market for swing trade opportunities the focus is placed on predicting directional changes or continuations for a given currency pair. For this we rely on technical analysis.

In technical analysis, just as in fundamental analysis, there are lagging indicators and leading indicators. One of the most reliable tools used to predict forex market swings is Elliott Wave analysis. Elliott Wave analysis can be used to identify trends and countertrends, trend continuation or exhaustion and to evaluate the potential price targets of a trend.

You can apply Elliott Wave analysis to both long and short position swing trade set ups for your currency pairs.

Elliott Wave theory is named after Ralph Nelson Elliott, who concluded that the markets moved in a repetitive pattern of waves. He attributed this action to the mass psychology of the market.

Elliott concluded that the market¡¯s movement was a direct result of the mass psychology of the time and that the stock market is a fractal. A fractal is an object that is similar in shape, but at different scales. A great example of a fractal in nature is a stalk of broccoli. The stalk and the individual branches look exactly the same; just the branches are smaller in scale.

Fractals just happen to form in accordance with Fibonacci ratios. Is this a coincidence?

Elliott attributes this mass psychological move to the human trait of herding. Even though Elliott¡¯s theories were based on stock market price movements, it has been applied to evaluating Presidential approval ratings and fashion trends changes as well.

The conclusion, the market price actions are not the cause of economic growth or slow down, but the reflection of the mass psychology of investors. If the mood of the investing public is upbeat then a bull market ensues. This is counter to what most individual perceive, that because there is a bull market the mood of the investing public is upbeat.

Elliott Wave patterns follow a sequence that the markets move up in a series of 3 waves and down in a series of 2 waves. This 3 wave impulse and 2 wave corrective sequence form the foundation of the 5 Wave impulse pattern (the opposite is true in a downtrend).

The Elliott Wave Counts are as follows;

Wave 1 - Short Covering
Wave 2 - Pullback from Short Covering
Wave 3 - Major Rally Phase
Wave 4 - Institution Pause in the Rally
Wave 5 - Retail Buying

Unlike the stock exchange, the Forex Market (foreign exchange market) is a relatively new player to the investment world. Today's current Forex market model started in the early 1970's, and today it represents the biggest financial market around, even surpassing the stock market. With trading surpassing $2 trillion dollars per day, the Forex market attracts more and more investors all the time. Before an investor starts trading on the Forex market, he should grasp the fundamentals of how exchange rates work.

Exchange rates

Basically, the exchange rate represents the rate of exchange between two currencies. Most currencies are traded, or paired up against the dollar. The five most common currencies traded on the market are the dollar (USD), euro (EUR), the yen (JPY), the British pound (GBP), and the Swiss franc (CHF). Some other currencies that are traded are the Australian dollar, the Canadian dollar, and the Hong Kong dollar.

In the exchange rate or ratio, the numerator represents the quote currency and the denominator the base currency, which always equals one.

Let's say that an investor wants to exchange euros for dollars. In this case, the euro currency is the quote currency, or how much currency you have to exchange. The base currency is the dollar. The investor researches the current exchange rate (euros converted into dollars) either on the Internet, through the bank, broker, etc., and then multiplies that amount by the number of euros to exchange. Let's say that the exchange rate is 1.57959. That means that 1.57959 euros must be paid to receive one dollar. If he has 1000 euros to exchange, then he can receive $1,579.59 (1000 x 1.57959).

On the flip side, the exchange rate can also tell the investor how much he'll receive if he converts dollars back into euros. If he has $1000, he can either divide that amount by the same euro to dollar exchange rate ($1000/1.57959 = 633.07 euros), or look up the conversation rate for dollars to euros on the Internet, etc. (i.e. .633072) and multiply it by the amount of dollars to exchange ($1000 x .633072 = 633.07 euros).

Once the exchange rate concept is understood, the investor can feel more confident in investing in the Forex market.

The most challenging part of getting started with Forex trading is to learn this innovative way of trading. Many potential investors that try to navigate the Forex system unaided end up being frustrated and financially intimidated. There are very simple strategies to becoming successful using the foreign exchange trading system but the first step is gathering all of the necessary information surrounding this type of trading specialty. Securing a reliable Forex trading broker is likely the first and most pivotal step after learning the initial principles.

Unlike many types of trading and futures, foreign exchange trading is not designed to make the client rich quickly. Many people are frightened off by the word that Forex trading is a get rich quick scheme that in large part, doesn't work. This is a financial myth despite all the hype surrounding the foreign exchange trading system. There are steps and gains to be taken in order to secure a future in successful trading. Expect to dedicate a large portion of time to researching and understanding the market in general before setting out with your pocket book ready to invest. Learn all you can about the Forex market in the beginning in order to make the Forex trading path a smooth and triumphant one.

There is no doubt that there are numerous types of orders that can be utilized in order to open and close trades and becoming familiar with them is a must. In the foreign exchange trading business there are charts, graphs and other visuals to help you effectively analyze trends in currency trading. These charts and graphs will assist in making well-informed decisions on what currency to sell. Timing is everything and it goes without saying that when experiencing with the Forex trading system, knowing when to trade can be the pivotal difference between success and failure. Understanding the analysis tools and how to use them efficiently will put any investor on the right track.

As well as proficient trading tools, it is an absolute necessity when using the foreign exchange trading system to understand how to use the software to perform actual trades. The only way to become comfortable with using Forex trading software is to use it and learn how to plot a course through the process. Selecting a good trader is the most imperative tip at this stage because an established trader can help you with the services required as well as giving you in depth tutorials using the foreign exchange trading system.

The most critical tool that will be utilized in the Forex trading system is patience and discipline. As mentioned earlier, foreign exchange trading is not a get rich quick proposal so learning patience and discipline can help you to become profitable in a timely fashion without losing money. Most brokers offer a demo account that can be used to practice and learn the foreign exchange trading system that mimics the real account with the exception of real money being traded. This gives a client insight into the market and its behaviors before actual money is invested. Learn how to make a profit using paper trading on a regular basis before risking your capital with Forex trading.

Gone are the days, when people with small bundles of notes surely would draw your attention at the airports/ international bus terminus/ important office areas, who are ready to exchange your currency to your desired foreign exchange at a commission. The literacy, the spread, the entrants of various professionals, automated software, revolutionary online forex trading companies have been able to put a control over the entire unorganized sector to pave the way for complete professionalism and to offer a much more convenient and systematic way of Forex trading.

At the inception phase, people, mainly the large corporations used to perform their Forex trading through various banks or major financial institutes, who used to operate at the international level. The overwhelming popularity of Forex of today's modern world due to the liberalization and global economic polices is empowered by the telecom boom, the immense reach of Internet and the unimaginable advantage of advanced technology. The instantaneous effect and up-to-date news provided by the Online Forex Software exchange trading platform in the regime of online Forex, have given you the classical opportunity of taking decisions and immediate implementation. Online Forex trading has been standardized over the years after the initial teething problems, and today's Forex participants get an almost secured access through various online Forex trading companies, which is free from all encumbrances. The technology, its application in case of online Forex has been drastically improved with the increasing awareness of people at large. The success lies in bringing a wider gamut of people into Forex trading platform and in turn the entire Forex Software exchange trading platform has become commercially viable.

If we want to look into the current Foreign Exchange market, we can find a reasonable number of stakeholders beyond the predominated traditional Multi National Companies or MNCs, banks, brokers and the final impetus has given by the wide acceptance of a large number of commoners, who get engaged in Forex trading due to various reasons including even as a mere hobby. The latest encryption methodologies and plenty of guide and trend analysis will make you secured and comfortable even if you are a first timer dabbling into online Forex trading.

The concept of margin trading, implying the traded on margin, saves you for a huge amount of deposit in the Forex. The margin deposit varies between banks and it is always in percentile terms of the original amount, which the bank allows you to play. A simple example will show you the actual potential. Suppose a bank has kept the margin deposit as 2%, which implies that you need to deposit only $20000 USD to trade two million dollars and also you may gear up your profit by 200%. As the coin has got two sides, the 2% margin deposit in Forex may also take you to the road of losses by 200%. The rule remains same, when the offline Forex trading changes it face to online Forex trading.

As every investment carries the potential risk of both profit and loss, the luck of an aggressive online Forex trader may sway anywhere between 2 to 25% on a daily basis on an average. Just for the knowledge base, the beginner in Forex trading must be aware of that the interest rates on your deposit varies greatly depending upon the currencies and the prevailing practice is to play in multiple currencies, popularly known as Base currency and variable currency in the world of Forex both in traditional platform and in online Forex platform. Your awareness level, your analytic power, your intuition are the key driven forces to transform you to an informed Forex trader and to optimize your Return on Investment (ROI) in the most prospective financial market of today's economic world.

Although every investment involves some risk, the risk of loss in trading off-exchange forex contracts can be substantial. Therefore, if you are considering participating in this market, you should understand some of the risks associated with this product so you can make an informed decision before investing.

As stated in the introduction to this booklet, off-exchange foreign currency trading carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all customers. The only funds that should ever be used to speculate in foreign currency trading, or any type of highly speculative investment, are funds that represent risk capital i.e., funds you can afford to lose without affecting your financial situation. There are other reasons why forex trading may or may not be an appropriate investment for you, and they are highlighted below.

The market could move against you

No one can predict with certainty which way exchange rates will go, and the forex market is volatile. Fluctuations in the foreign exchange rate between the time you place the trade and the time you close it out will affect the price of your forex contract and the potential profit and losses relating to it.

You could lose your entire investment

You will be required to deposit an amount of money (often referred to as a security deposit or margin) with your forex dealer in order to buy or sell an off-exchange forex contract. As discussed earlier, a relatively small amount of money can enable you to hold a forex position worth many times the account value. This is referred to as leverage or gearing. The smaller the deposits in relation to the underlying value of the contract, the greater the leverage. If the price moves in an unfavorable direction, high leverage can produce large losses in relation to your initial deposit. In fact, even a small move against your position may result in a large loss, including the loss of your entire deposit. Depending on your agreement with your dealer, you may also be required to pay additional losses.

Overtrading is another ordinary money management mistake in the forex market. This trading does not have clearly defined trading objectives; the sole reason is to make more money. To avoid this mistake, make sure that every trade is broken into ultimate goals, and that these goals are achieved before other positions are added. Very few traders can successfully manage multiple positions in a variety of currency trading markets.

Overconfidence is a big mistake when it comes to money management and the forex market. This is caused when a trader has or thinks they have particular or inside information. These hot tips are sometimes wrong, and when this happens large amounts of money may be lost because of this. The way to avoid this is to avoid being confident in any rumors or special information you may have. Managing your money means taking measures to preserve it as well.

Preferential bias can exist among forex market traders. This happens when they only see or hear what they want in relative to the favored trade. This can cause a trader to ignore the real activity of the forex market in favorite of what they want to happen. It is important to look at each trade impartially and do not become set in cement with your opinion. Do not ask friends or family for their opinions; just go with what you know.

The Forex market is the biggest financial market in the world. But this doesn ' t make it easier; on the contrary. You have a lot of big advantages but Forex is also very challenging. Almost all advantages, when observed carefully, transform not is disadvantages but in challenges. It is the case of the Forex market being open 24 hours a day. When someone begins trading the Forex or reads about this particular market, this characteristic is taken as an advantage. Traders tend to think " Great! Finally I can trade whenever I want! ". Well, this is, in part, true. But, when you start trading the Forex, you ' ll see that volatility only appears during certain times and that if you are day trading, you can ' t be in front of your computer 24 hours a day. This is a challenge for most Forex traders who are looking for day trading the currency pairs. If you want to day trade, you will have to develop a decent strategy in order to concise it to a few hours a day, probably when the volatility is more likely to urge.

Other big advantage that is always quoted related to the Forex market is the brim requirements. Well, smooth tuck away a pygmy invoice coextensive $300 you can advantage 100, 200 or rolled 400x your wad. You may think this is a great advantage but, in my opinion, this is more a challenge than an advantage. If you have a petite balance and pop to practice a steep side, you can avoid your entire balance in a single trade.

Also, Forex is admitted as the scam market. You have trading systems, courses and common brokers that are constantly rated by traders as scams. In the case of the systems and courses in that they promise a lot of profits stash no elbow grease at all, and in the case of the brokers that donate you all the resources but inasmuch as trade lambaste you, don ' t agreement you withdraw your property or neatly disappear salt away it.

When you start trading the Forex market, or if you present are, you demand to avoid the scams.

Here are some tips of how to avoid Forex scams:

1 - Exercise your shipshape sense. This is the primary phenomenon you compulsion to arrange. Evaluate carefully the product or the broker you are election. If you think they are offering you utterly much, be careful. It may be a scam.

2 - When you are looking for a forex trading system or a course, you ' ll probably see things same " make $100, 000 in a epoch ". Forex is a challenging market and not everyone can make long green obscure it. Don ' t dispose fooled by stir gilded fast conspiracies.

3 - One commendable tip when buying a trading system or course is to viewing if they have riches back guarantee or a unpaid trial spell. This journey, if you don ' t relating what you bought, you can always request for a decrease.

4 - If you are looking for a forex trading system, course or broker, scan reviews untrue by others traders. Scrutinize what they think about the product, the abutment party, how they handle their clients and therefrom on. Construe all that you can.

5 - Before buying a product or signing up veil a broker, always read their webpages. Feel costless to needle them your doubts. If they reckon on in their products and services, they will answer your questions.

6 - If you buy a forex trading system or course, test it first on a demo account. Don ' t start with your real account because you don ' t know how it will actually work. It may need some adjustments on your part to make the strategy good for you.

As I said, the Forex market is challenging. Unless you are able to spend some time with it, not only trading but also reading and learning, you won ' t make it. But, without a doubt, it ' s a very profitable market.

If you want to succeed in Forex, you need to experience what your doing and do it right. This is not like going up on a bike and starting to cycle. It's more like get in the driver's seat of a motorcar with an teacher at her side, help them understand the rules of the road while moving safely through the traffic. successful traders live by the 'road rules and avoid heading in the wrong way for access to the examples of the past, sometimes yes, sometimes more.

When you get a chance to go to a seminar where the success of Forex traders are talking about, jump on the opportunity to learn all the details on what led to their succeeder. Meanwhile, follow these guidelines to get the engine and mind into the busy road of exchange operations.

1. Advice. In That Respect are thousands of people who have gone before and not so much the succeeder or seen a amount of both. Read books, collect information, the formation of free trial. The more you know and understand about the foreign exchange, the better their potential for success.

2. Not enticed to trade more than they can afford. Forex is dangerous and even the most seen brokers and traders may have unforeseen losses. The main trouble is not going beyond their means and then risk turning a loss the money needed for life, either now or in the future.

3. It is not used outsmart the market. Interpreting and forecasting of trends in the movement is something that even the professionals and had to spend years, if not decades, fathoming. Always sell to markets that are not performing and which are signs of weakness. Trying to be intuitive and make rash predictions only lose money.

4. I understand that in world is just a game. It may seem like a wrong comment, but it is necessary to obtain results that are not too serious. Considering that the next one million dollars because the man has only one triumph, and feelings can lead to more skills that you become the next Pedro Pinch cent. Have the high and low trying to avoid.

5. Draft victory away. Whatever happens in the short term must be good for the long term. Low may help you understand where it has failed, while high can help you determine what to duplicate next season. Trading in the Forex Market, you will see a multitude of changes in the market on a daily basis. What really matters is the long-term results. You must keep Chipping away from them and reinvesting its "champion" toward greater succeeder.

6. Ending loss positions. Not continually throw money into a hard trade is expected to improve. Probably not. experience out while you can. Are you sure you lose money, but the loss of "some" is better than losing everything.

7. Be controlled. When you finish your homework, stick to your system. Do not try to outdo yourself for being cocky and throwing more money into the market and just watch closely.

8. Keep a cool brain during services. Before making a transaction, you use and the assessment to decide what to do.

When trading begins, it may be attractive to include the flow of adrenaline and do more than what was planned. Stick to the plan and avoid trying to do under pressure. If you participate in exchange operations and see that it is not for you, but persevere is keep awake at night. Market volatility in foreign exchange trading can be so intense that it could send a dizzying. Note that There are other forms of trade that is not so involving her immediate attention.

Have you ever encountered an online promotion for a forex system, strategy or software? If so, I bet that the promoter promises great wealth in no time, something like " this incredible system makes $3, 000 a day " or " I am making money in my sleep using this automated trading software " and so on. Very tempting for some of us. And as this " Forex Systems " hype is relatively new, even veteran traders ask themselves whether these systems are for real.

The exactness is that some of these forex merchandise are indeed total scams. But absolute is again not logical to foresee that ALL of them worth nobody. Luckily, we live in the hot poop ticks, locality a scam cannot hold office close for spun out. So if you encounter a forex system, strategy or software for sale, conclude not carry lazy and search the net for relevant blogs, forex forums and reviews. If the product is a scam, you will familiar conceive physical quite delicate. However, lease ' s spiel that you treasure a decent, reliable Forex System - what rap you assume from sound? Will positive well deliver? Fine, flying start by commercial the following questions:

Am I disciplined?

Most traders purchase a first-rate trading system or software but operate not have the discipline to trade according to the system ' s rules. Some traders achieve not credence the system they have tried bought and endeavor to chicken feed the rules from day one. Others certainty the system prime, but next a few bad trades source losing confidence and contract apprehensiveness and attraction genie their decisions. I itch admit - substantial was very insolvable for me to faith a system that was created by someone too many. Solitary when I tacit the logic late the system I began to fashion confidence, traded stow away discipline and somewhere made profits.

Are my expectations fitting my ration?

The size of your trading invoice will halt your lifelike profit expectations. If you have a mini account ( a keep of between 500 to 10, 000 US dollars ), irrefutable means that for trading the EUR / USD, a 1 pip movement in your favor equals 1 US dollar in profit. So if you are a very rad trader stifle a very superb trading system, a stupendous trading point veil a total of 500 pips hike, equals US$ 500 in profit. I guess you cannot quit your job yet. But if you have a one million dollar account, you can definitely earn US$ 1, 000 per pip. So it takes only 3 pips to make US$3, 000 a day. I hope you get the point.

Do I have enough knowledge?

Even the best system is operated by a real person. And each trader is a unique individual. Consequently, if you ask a group of traders to trade the same system, under the same conditions, you will probably get totally different results. Yes, some traders do make money in their sleep using profitable forex systems, but the human factor will always be there. So get yourself a good trading system, but do not stop there. Be ready to acquire a sound knowledge in forex trading and keep expending your knowledge over time.

Understanding foreign exchange trading is key to becoming successful in this particular business. There are many different entities and key notes that are corollary to trading foreign currencies. While the business may be promising, success only happens when you allot some time to get to know it much better. Before you delve deeper into what forex can actually do for you, it is important that you learn first about these important points:


Trading Methods


Foreign currency trading utilizes different types of trading methods which has their own disadvantages and advantages. Perhaps the most popular is the spot currency trading method. This type of trading happens between the buyer and the seller at varied periods of time. There really is no way to figure out when a spot currency trading will occur. But one notable characteristic of this type of trading method is that it requires immediate action with the prices coming up at a later time. Meaning, it is advised that buyers keep their preferred rates until the sellers present theirs first.


Another type of trading method being used and more popular among big businesses is the option trading method. This makes use of a future trading mechanism wherein both parties agree to trade at a specific date or for a specified period of time. However, the option trading strategy only gives the buyers and sellers the right to make the purchase but it does not require them to trade. At any time, they may also choose to drop off from the agreement.


Buying and Selling


Aside from trading methods, understanding foreign exchange trading is also important in terms of its buying and selling practices. You should note when specific types of target market buy and when do traders opt to sell their currencies on hand. Identifying niche markets is important so that you can plot your business plans accordingly. Also, there are a lot of factors which can potentially affect the buying and selling behavior of foreign exchange customers.


To help identify buying and selling patterns, you should also keep yourself abreast of the current economic situation. The forex market is often closely tied with anything related to finance since it is the key tool that operates this particular industry niche. Along with this, you should also consider observing trade speculators. These people are known for spotting the most convenient times to trade and as such, they end up profiting from low value bought but high-selling currencies.


Operating Round the Clock


Understanding foreign exchange trading also means you have to be prepared to work around the clock. This is also the reason why getting a forex software is often strongly advised so you can automate your business. Of course as a person you also have other things to attend to, and having a forex trading software allows you that freedom. You can also choose to work with a forex broker to help you scan and scout the market for possible trade opportunities. Working with another professional is always a great way to expand your horizons.

Getting a foreign exchange trading education is very important. You need to understand that the foreign currency trading game changes every time. It is very dynamic and things can change faster than you think they will. The best you can do is to keep yourself abreast of the latest in the trading field. Learning about the ins and outs of forex is also one efficient way of gaining experience in it. It's not enough that you trade and face so many other business professionals. It's also great to get a third party perspective on how things work.


Knowing more about the currency trading game is easier when you know the theories and the technicalities that surround it. You can choose to enroll into a specific course or you can also do some self-studying through the internet as well. Either way, choose the learning method which you think will suit you best.


Foreign Exchange Trading Education for Free


So you want to know how to learn about forex the free way? All you need is lots of time and patience to scan the internet. You can take advantage of article directories and search for relevant articles talking about forex. However, do not expect that you will get plenty of information from these articles. Most of those published in article directories are practical reads. If you want a quick fix of forex then that's the best place to be. But if you want to learn about everything technical and in-depth, you can try visiting forex sites set up by organizations in the trade. You can also check out websites of financial institutions.


Being a member of forum sites is also a great way to learn about forex. Most of the entrepreneurs who dabble in foreign currency trading are more than happy to inform people about their experiences and give insights on growing market trends. Forums are also a great venue for meeting like-minded people in terms of business. You can also start threads in such forums about the different things you would like to learn about forex that you are yet to fully understand.


Considering a Formal Forex Course


If you find that you want a more cohesive approach to learning about forex, then you can also opt to enroll in some short courses. There are lots of distance learning modules being offered online so you can conveniently learn about forex depending when you can sit down and focus on it. Some experts also hold workshops for forex trading. These last for a few days and may give out certificates upon accomplishing the said workshop.


Just make sure that you have the budget and the time for this type of foreign exchange trading education. Consider this method as a surefire investment in the game. Learning about forex through a systematized course allows you to start from the most basic up to the complex parts of forex trading. This method also helps you focus more since there is a point person who tracks your progress.

Here we are going to look at the most famous trading experiment of all time where a group of people with no experience were taught to trade in just two weeks and went on to make multi million dollar gains.

The experiment we are looking at here, is one conducted by Richard Dennis one of the true trading greats. Dennis wanted to prove that anyone could learn to trade, regardless of age, sex or educational background.

He taught a group of people with no trading experience, who ranged from a security guard, to an actor, to a lady auditor, to name just some of the group and taught them to trade in just two weeks. The rest of course is history, as the entire group went on to enjoy Forex trading success and make fortunes.

So what can you learn from them?

There are three facts about the experiment which any trader should make part of their essential Forex trading education and here they are:

1. Simple Systems Work Best

The system was a trend following breakout system which traded long term and was so simple anyone could learn it and it's a fact that simple systems work best as they are very robust in the brutal world of Forex trading.

Complex systems have a tendency to lose, as they have too many elements to break, so you need to keep your system simple too. Their methodology of a long term breakout strategy was an excellent way to trade and still is today.

2. Money Management is the Key

If you want to win at Forex trading, you need to do it just like the great football teams and that means you need to have a tight defence. A top football team will know, if it keeps the score down (restricts losses) its offence will get opportunities to win the game and it won't need many. Most traders think money management is not as important as the trading system itself but it is! If you lose too much, you get wiped out and the game is over.

3. Maintaining Discipline

If you read interviews with the group Dennis taught, most of them indicate that the trading system was easy to learn, the hard part was taking losses and maintaining discipline until profits were hit again.

Like most trading systems, this one had far more losses than profits and it's hard to trade with discipline, as the market takes money from you and makes you look a fool. Discipline is based on confidence and a good education and Dennis made sure, his pupils knew why they would ultimately win and gave them the mindset to succeed.

If you understand the above, you will see that anyone can learn to trade and you only need a simple system but the biggest barrier to trading success is getting a disciplined mindset you need to get the right mindset and this comes from education, confidence and knowing your strengths and weaknesses.

You can enjoy currency trading anyone can, so read more inspiring stories like the one above and get on the road to currency trading success.

Enclosed you will find two equations which most traders don't understand and that's why most traders lose however if you understand them and incorporate them in your Forex trading strategy you could be on the road to huge gains...

Let's first of all start with the equation which relates to how and why markets really move and it's this:

Supply and Demand Fundamentals + Human Perception of them = Price

Simple?

Yes it is but most traders fail to see its signifcance which is:

It's not the facts that are important, its how humans perceive them that is; always remember humans are creatures of emotion and don't conform to some scientific theory which means all the commonly perceived views below about trading Forex are wrong:

- You can predict market movements in advance

- You can trade breaking news and the facts

- Markets move to some mathematical theory

- You can make money from short term moves i.e. scalping or day trading.

Its clear that markets move to probabilities not certainties. So using complex theories or mathematical theories is doomed to failure; its also impossible to work out what millions upon millions of traders will do within a day, as all short term moves are random and breaking news stories and facts cannot be traded, as the facts by themselves not important, its how there perceived that determines what happens next.

So how do you trade online Forex markets and win?

In an odds based market, simple systems works best and you should simply trade the reality of price change on a Forex Chart. Most traders make Forex trading more complicated than it really is. Having a successful trading system though is not enough next, you now need to understand another simple equation to succeed.

A Simple Robust Forex Trading System + Disciplined Execution = Forex Profits

The key to winning long term at Forex is disciplined execution of a system. If you can't execute your trading system signals with discipline, you have no system and don't be deceived, trading with discipline is very hard.

The reason discipline is so hard is you are going to have losing periods ( all traders have them) and you are going to have to keep going while the market takes your money and wrong foots you and makes you feel a fool. When this is happening, you need to keep your losses small and stay on course until you hit a home run and this is hard.

Most traders think they will never lose and believe the rubbish that vendors of "sure fire" systems tell them which is - losing periods don't occur or are very short.

When they hit a period of losses, they simply cannot cope with them and throw in the towel. if you understand that you have to lose to win and can trade with discipline, you can enjoy currency trading success.

Most traders don't really understand how markets really move and lack the mindset to win. Above we have shown you what it takes to win at online Forex trading and the rest is now up to you - good luck!

Don't let anyone tell you that can predict Forex price movement with scientific accuracy, it's a lie. Prices don't move science but you can make money, here's how...

The reason Forex prices are not predictable is obvious, humans decide the price of any currency and you can't predict what they will do with certainty.

There is a big industry selling Forex robots and gurus selling get rich quick systems, telling you that you can predict prices in advance but common sense tells you this cannot be true - why? Because if you could predict price, everyone would know the price in advance and there would be no market. Prices move because you can't predict them, NOT because you can.

You can make money though!

To make profits you have to calculate and trade the odds successfully.

While you cannot predict human nature with certainty, it is constant and never changes. The emotions of greed and fear are always present and these emotions are reflected in high odds, chart patterns that are tradable for profit.

When you trade Forex, you need to trade like a good poker player, who folds or passes by hands that have low odds and then bets when the odds are in their favour. If you do this and have sound money management, you can make a lot of money.

We all want to be perfect and pick market tops and bottoms in advance but it's simply not possible.

To win at Forex, you need to trade the reality of price change only. Prediction is simply hoping or guessing and you will find your predictions (if you try them) are as accurate as your horoscope.

The best Way to Trade is:

Look at a Forex chart and you will see long trends that last for many weeks or months.

Most of these big trends start and continue from new chart highs or lows. You should therefore trade breaks of important support and resistance levels and follow them, as chances are a big trend will develop. You're NOT predicting, you're trading the reality of price change and increasing your odds of success.

Most traders can't trade breakouts because they think they have missed the start of the move and wait for a pullback to get in. It doesn't come and the trader misses the move.

To build a breakout trading system is easy and will always have the opportunity make money, as markets will always trend.

Simple systems work best in Forex trading and we will show you how to put together a simple, long term, forex trading breakout system, in part 2 of this article series.

Trading the odds and trading long term, is the way to make money and you don't need to predict anything!

One of the differences between the stock market and the forex market is the vast trading that occurs on the forex market. The foreign exchange market
(currency, forex, or FX) is where currency trading takes place. It is where banks and other official institutions facilitate the buying and selling of foreign currencies. The forex trading market is a volatile industry. It is also a very lucrative market. However, to be a successful FX trader you need to educate yourself and have a long term plan. The lack of a forex trading strategy will guarantee failure. When starting out as a forex trader it is easy to abandon your plan or lack of a plan. A good forex trading education is a must.

Being well verse in the stock market will assist you with your forex trading. However, to enter into the foreign exchange market it is not necessary to have any prior trading experience. Some basic forex strategy systems are the fundamental analysis and the technical analysis.

Fundamental analysis
The fundamental analysis is performed on historical and present data, but with the goal of making financial forecast. The data used in this analysis is; money policy, government policy and economic indicators. Some examples are GDP, exports and imports. The analysis of this data is for a specific business cycle.

Technical analysis
Forex technical analysis is a security analysis technique that claims the ability to forecast the future direction of prices through the study of past market data, primarily price and volume. In its purest form, technical analysis considers only the actual price and volume behavior of the market or instrument. Technical analysts, sometimes called "chartists", may employ models and trading rules based on price and volume transformations.

Before you dive head first into the forex market open up a demo account. A forex demo account is a simulated account where you get virtual money of $25,000 to $1, 00,000. You get live quotes and bids that are part of real forex trade. Once you have master that are ready to take the plunge into the real thing open up a mini account.

A mini account is a great stepping-stone to the big leagues of FX. It allows you to open up an account where the leverage is higher in comparison to standard accounts. With a mini account you are dealing with mini contracts. You can open up a mini account with $250. When you are ready you can move onto a standard account

The forex market welcomes traders 24 hours a day. Forex market opens on Sunday 5 pm EST (10:00 pm GMT), closes on Friday 5 pm EST (10:00 pm GMT). No matter what region of the world you live in you can trade on the forex. As one market is opening, another countries market is closing. This is the continual method of how the forex market trading occurs. An example of forex trades in the western region of the world is USD/EUR and USD/GBP. An example of a forex trade in the Asian Economic regions or the world is JPY/USD and JPY/GBP.

Technology is a beautiful thing. To be involved in these markets you don't have to be awake for every different time zone. Automated analytical forex software applications allow you trade during the middle of the night while you sleep. There are many, different type of automated forex software applications on the market. Some of the most commonly used applications are forex killer, auto- pilot and forex-funnel to mention a few. These applications are used by; professionals and beginners alike with no experience whatsoever. These applications can assist you with a forex trading strategies.

If you are planning to trade in currency then you should know the different ways of reading the forex chart. Due to this reason you should try to gain the knowledge about reading the charts. If you know this then you would be able to earn huge profits in short duration of time. You would find that the experienced trader would always take the proper training before entering into the market of forex. If you are a learner then you should always start the trade with the nominal amount. You should no invest huge amount at a particular point of time.

If you want to learn the ways of reading the forex chart then you can purchase this software that would provide you required knowledge about the forex market. This software would aid you to keep the track of the money that you invest in this market and it would also keep the track of your time that you spend in this market. This software would help you to keep a track of the amount that you have invested in the firm. This software is handy. If you are interested to become a forex trading pro then you should try to take the maximum use of this software. If you use this software then you chart using this software then you would get the perfect knowledge about the forex trading that is offered by the forex market.

Currency trading market is considered to the largest market in the whole world and it one of the busiest markets. You would have problem of keeping the track of the forex market. You would be able to keep the track of the various trends that are prevailing in the market. if you are using the this software as a tool then you should study the changes that are taking place in the forex market. The knowledge that you have gain would aid you to trade in the market.

If you want to install this software then you need to explore yourself to net. You can use different trends and pattern of the forex chart. You can use the special tools that can be generated in short duration of time. You can use this tool to examine the software that you are using. The forex charts would help the trader to take the decisions about the market in which you are dealing. Forex charting software would provide relief to the people that want to become successful and want to get the deal that they want. There are different methods that can help you to the knowledge that you want to have. This would help you to make the future predictions about the forex market. This would help in charting the different types of software. There are various types of software in the market. You need to select the software as per your needs and requirements. You need to be careful in selecting the software for your deal.

A Few Forex Tips To Help You Achieve Success

You can earn a lot of money through Forex and it in fact only requires that you learn from some tips that will show you how to maximize your profits from dealing in foreign currencies. The simplest Forex tip is to use weekly charts to boost your profitability. This means that you have to take the trouble of checking the weekly charts so as to be able to gain a proper perspective of the currency market.

Such weekly charts are ideal for learning and finding out more about the major trends that are taking place and they will also help you understand the proper support as well as resistance levels as too gains insights about entry points.

Don't Overtrade

Another simple Forex tip is learning to avoid from doing too much trading. It pays to understand that fewer trades you enter into the better are the chances that you can realize a handsome profit. It is more important that you concentrate on getting things right rather than indulging in quantity trading. Smart Forex operators earn money from doing the right things well and avoiding doing the bad things. In fact, the more successful traders earn high amounts of money from doing only limited amount of trades.

A healthy appetite for risk is essential to succeeding with Forex and so you have to learn how and when to take risks which however must be judiciously taken and which should not deteriorate into starting to gamble in the hope that you will make a major killing. At the very least a person that is averse to taking risks must abstain from doing Forex deals.

For those people that do small Forex trades it is not a good idea to branch out because it is in fact necessary that they concentrate and focus on their limited trades instead of trying to expand their dealings without having already tasted success.

You can also succeed with Forex by setting yourself realistic targets. The more realistic you are the better are the chances that you will be able to work hard enough to realize your objectives. You should decide to engage you in Forex and then give your all to succeeding and also keep in mind that your targets are not too farfetched or unrealistic.

With these tips in mind you should get started with Forex and bear in mind also that to be successful you will need to learn how to focus your efforts on the best trades that should be used with best odds of succeeding. Weigh your options and set realistic targets and then do your best to realize a profit.

I have been a Forex broker, taught Forex and been in contact with several thousand traders. The enclosed tip is simple one the vast majority of traders I have come into contact with don't understand - but if they did, the tip would increase their profits dramatically.

The tip is based on the 80 - 20 rule which is used in a wide variety of areas of life for example, in business it says 80% of your profits will normally come from just 20% of your clients. In Forex terms it means - 80% of your overall profits will come from just 20% of your trades.

The reality is that most Forex traders take far too many trades, if they cut back on their trading frequency and only hit high odds trades their profits will increase dramatically.

They hold the following beliefs which are simply not true

- They can make money by scalping or day trading

These short term trades are low odds trades in fact - the odds are you will lose, as you are trading the market noise.

- They need to be in the market just in case they miss a move

If course this is rubbish, you can spot a move and enter when the time is right!

- The harder the work and the more trades they make the more money they will make

The work ethic doesn't apply in Forex; many people think with effort they can force money from the market and they lose.

Be Smart and Aim for 100% Annual Profits

I know traders that trade less than once a month yet still turn in triple digit annual profits! There not interested in working hard or trading all the time, their interested in making money and that means hitting the high odds trades and milking them for all their worth. These traders make a lot of money, not by working hard but working smart.

Less is More Hit the Big Trends

The high odds trades don't come around every day and you need to wait for them but when they do, they will give you high odds set ups, greater chances of success with less work and that is something all Forex traders want!

There is no doubt that the Foreign exchange market is among the fastest growing market in the world today. Trading volumes of these markets are growing in an arithmetic progression every year. Traditional daily turnover in Forex markets were reported to be over US $3.2 trillion in April 2008. With this figure alone, no one should tell you how liquid Forex markets really are. Though the bad economy has greatly reduced the potential of the Forex matters, its still stand out as the most liquid markets you can find out there.

Trading Forex is a very difficult and risky task. But given the huge amount of profits available in this market, people are flooding it on a daily basis with the aim of making some extra or full income from Trading Forex. With the financial crises around, and people loosing their jobs, some folks always think Forex trading can be a save heaven for them. But you should always take special care when getting in to such markets because: where there are big profits to be made, there is always the possibility of big losses as well.

In any efficient economy, there would always be a supply to every demand. Given the complexity involved in trading in the Forex markets, there are quite a number of people who don't know enough about Foreign exchange markets but are interested in trading foreign currencies. Special software called Forex robots have been designed which could greatly reduce this complicated process involved in Forex trading.

Most of this software is called Forex robots, meaning that they are capable of instructing you exactly on what to do in what circumstance. Others may even automatically do it do it for you. For example, the robot may instruct its user to sell a particular currency, and buy another currency based on the market data analysis made.

While these robots could be right in most cases depending on the mark, it is good to take note that they are not always correct. There are just a software and like any other software, their output depends on their input. Garbage in, garbage out. This simply means that you may loose so much money if you don't a good robot that that has been effectively designed to take most of the parameters into account. The Forex market is actually beyond the reasoning scope of even a Forex robot. That is why no one can say with certainty that they can trade Forex without some losses here and there.

Since Forex indicators have been programmed to run on some given pre- market indicators which have been judge by experts as key indicators preceding key events, it can be a wise idea to take a look at them if we intend to trade this very liquid market.

An option is a contract to that gives the holder the right to buy or sell currency at a pre-determined price at a specific price. The holder of the contract has the right to exercise the option but is not obligated to. Options are used as a hedge in FOREX transactions; they are frequently used by companies that trade in oversea goods to reduce their risk.

Options come in two different flavors. Call options give the contract holder the right to buy the currency. Put options give the contract holder the right to sell the currency to someone else.

When the contract expires the actual value of the options is whatever the holder will get by actually exercising the contract. If the holder will gain nothing by exercising the option then the actual value of the option is zero. The value of the option at any other time during the contract is what is called the intrinsic value, that is the value if the holder were to exercise the option at that time.

The intrinsic value is partially based on the set price of the contract, which is also known as the "strike price". A call option has an intrinsic value if the current price of the currency is higher than the strike price. This would allow the contract holder to buy the currency at less than the current value and then re-sell it for a profit. A put option has an intrinsic value if the current price is less than the strike price of the option.

Any time an option has a positive intrinsic value it is said to be "in the money" if the intrinsic value is negative then the option is considered to be "out of the money". It can also have a value of zero which means that the current price is the same as the strike price in which case it is considered to be "a the money". Options should only be exercised when they are "in the money".

There are complicated formulas used to calculate the intrinsic value of an option, these formulas take into consideration both the current price as well as the time value. The time value is calculated based on the market conditions, including things like interest rates on both currencies as well as the time left in the contract. The pricing of options is delicate; they must be low enough to attract buyers but also high enough to attract the sellers as well.

Options are primarily used to minimize risk in FOREX trades. They help to protect against unexpected fluctuations in the market. When you buy an option your potential loss is limited to the price of the option. When you sell options your potential loss can be significantly higher. The seller gains the premium for selling the option but depending on how the market moves their loss could be unlimited.

As a hedging tool, there are many different types of options available. They are often used to minimize the potential for loss due to fluctuations in the foreign exchange market by companies that trade overseas.

In the FOREX market there is a special option known as a digital option. A digital option pays a specified amount at expiration if certain criteria are met. If the criteria are not met there is no payment.

To us a digital option the trader must first decide which way the market is moving. They then decide on a payoff amount if the market moves as expected within a certain time frame. Using this information they can then calculate the price of the digital option.

For example:

The price of the euro is currently trading at about 1.2400 and you expect it to rise to 1.2800 within 3 months. You decide to buy a put digital option with a payoff of $5000. The cost of the option is $800.

If at the end of the 3 months the euro is more than 1.2800 you get $5000. If the price is less, you lose $800.

Options can be a valuable trading tool for all FOREX traders.

It's nights like last night that make all the analysis worthwhile. Although, trading should be completely unemotional, I am sure that we all feel that little boost of confidence when we nail a trade perfectly.

Both our entry and exit were within 10 pips of the high and the low respectively. Feel free to surf the entire web and see how many traders can boast that type of success.

Certainly, there won't be many. As I mention below, most managed funds (you know, the ones that the pros handle) have been losing at a remarkable pace over the last month or so.

OK, so now to the trading.

We had another great trading night last night. Based on the resistance and support levels we discussed last night we entered our trades @ 1.7460, and we were able to close the trades for 120 pips @ 1.7420 and 1.7380.

Utilizing the proper money management and cushioning technique taught in the trading in Black and White trading course to we were able to pick a safe yet successful entry point, and a safe stop loss.

Then looking at support levels we chose perfect profit targets, exiting our large trade just two pips above the daily low. It is very hard to get better than that.

This has been an active region for trading the last couple of months as Cable continues to trade in the tight range from 1.7230 up to 1.7600 and back down again.

Tonight we are trading around 1.7425, just 15 pips below yesterdays close. We will once again look to the resistance range with around the 1.7470 level. This range goes all the way to 1.7500. As far as support for our potential profit target we will be following what happens to price action around the 1.7380 range again tonight. While most of the managed funds and signal services have been getting crushed over the past few weeks, we are starting off yet another winning week.

If you want to start experiencing winning weeks like the ones or traders have been having, take a look at our forex trading course.

We find these support and resistance levels using a set of technical indicators and other variables that we have found to be most successful for us. We use several other indicators and a variety of technical analysis techniques to enter and exit all of our trades. Every trader will have a different combination of indicators that makes the most sense to them. Learn how to develop your own successful Forex Trading style with our Elite Forex Trading Course.

How to Make BIG Profits with Currency Trading Systems

FOREX markets turn over trillions of dollars per day and are the world’s biggest investment medium.

In recent years, FOREX trading systems using technical analysis to predict trend changes have become increasingly popular as a way of catching the big profitable trends.

Catching the Longer Term Trends for Big Profits

The longer-term trends in FOREX markets mirror the underlying health of the economy. As periods of expansion and contraction take years, so do currency trends and a good FOREX trading system can help you lock into, and profit from, these trends.

When picking a currency to trade, it is important to have good long-term trends and liquidity.

Good major currencies to trade include the US Dollar, Swiss Franc, Euro, Japanese Yen, British Pound, and Canadian Dollar.

FOREX trading systems remove the emotional component from trading, which is the major reason the majority of traders lose.

Removing the Emotion from Trading with Systems

One of the best starting points on the effect that emotions have in trading, are the works of legendary trader W. D Gann, whose works on the subject are essential reading.

Other authors worth reading are: Edwin Lefeurve, Jake Bernstein, Larry Williams, Ken Roberts, Van Tharpe and Jack Shwager whose book “Market Wizards & The New Market Wizards” interviews some of the top traders of all time, including the legendary “turtles”.

FOREX Trading Systems for Profit

The developments in computer software, and the growth of the Internet, have seen system trading reach a wider audience than ever before.

Packages such as Tradestation, Supercharts and Omni trader, allow traders to build and back test systems, using technical indicators such as stochastics, Bollinger bands, moving averages, RSI etc., to realistically see how the system would have performed in the markets over time.

Traders who do not have the time, or inclination, to develop their own FOREX Trading systems, can buy a variety of systems off the shelf.

What Makes A Successful FOREX Trading System?

If you are buying a FOREX trading system from a vendor, there are several things to consider:

1. Do you want to be a day trader, or a longer-term trader? You need to pick a system that suits your personality.

2. Do you want to have any manual input into the system, or do you want it to make all the decisions for you?

3. Do you want to trade just one currency, or a spread? Trading one currency can increase the profit potential, but keep in mind that it can also increase the risk.

4. What is the logic of the system? It is a fact, that if you understand the system and its logic, you will have more confidence in it, than if you buy a black box system where the logic concealed.

5. What is the profit potential and what are the drawdowns? The important point here is that any system will have periods of drawdown or losses, and you need to be able to have the confidence to follow the system through good periods and bad. Generally, the bigger the profit potential, the bigger the drawdowns tend to be.

When you are buying from a vendor, check out their experience, record of accomplishment, customer support etc., and make sure you are comfortable with them.

Copyright 2006 Timothy Rohrer

Many traders and novices are looking to make money in Forex, however only 5% of Forex traders ever make a dime. The question then becomes what are the 5% that are making money in Forex doing that the other 95% are not.

The truth is anyone can make money in Forex as long as they educate themselves and learn how the market reacts. Trades can use key support and resistance zones for entry and exits within the market, however there is another key component that will help determine price movement and that is pivot points. Pivot points help determine where price is going as well as reversals in trends.

If one knew the range parameters used by floor traders then one may have a handle on significant areas where off floor and position traders may take over the market. Determining key support and resistance zones coupled with pivot points is essential to forecasting price movement in the Forex. Even if you are not a day trader, knowing the key pivot point, support and resistance points can help the short term trader and intermediate positional trader to identify potential entry points and stop loss levels.

Getting into a trade near key support and resistance zones is a double edged sword. Pivot points can be seen as both dangerous and a great opportunity to enter a trade. Stop orders to enter at pivot points are readily whipsawed by the local market and noise, meaning price may bounce up and down around pivot points before heading in one direction. The question then becomes how are pivot points used to determine a good entry and exit point in the market?

Pivot points can be used in two ways. The first way is for determining overall market trend: if the pivot point price is broken in an upward movement, then the market is bullish, and vice versa. Keep in mind, however, that pivot points are short-term trend indicators, useful for only one day until they need to be recalculated. The second method is to use pivot point price levels to enter and exit the markets. For example, a trader might put in a limit order to buy 100 shares if the price breaks a resistance level. Alternatively, a trader might set a stop-loss for his active trade if a support level is broken.

Calculating pivot points is not an easy task. There are some really great training courses online that will train you on how to trade using pivot points as well as calculate them for you and teach you how to use them in a real-time.

Basically trade means exchange of goods, services, or both. Trade is also called commerce. The actual face of trade was barter, which was the direct exchange of goods and services. Today traders generally negotiate through a medium of exchange, like money, which then makes buying separate from selling, or earning. The invention of money has made trade simpler. Trade between two traders is called bilateral trade, while trade between more than two traders is called multilateral trade.

Trade exists for many reasons. It can be due to specialization and division of labor. Trade exists between regions because different regions have a comparative advantage in the production of some tradable commodity, or because different regions' size helps getting benefits of mass production.

History of Trade:
Trade originated in prehistoric times. It was the main facility of prehistoric people, who bartered goods and services from each other when modern money was never even thought of. Peter Watson dates the history of long-distance commerce from circa 150,000 years ago.

Trade is believed to have taken place throughout much of recorded human history. Materials used for the creation of jewelry were traded with Egypt since 3000 BC. Long-distance trade routes first appeared in the 3rd millennium BC, by the Sumerians in Mesopotamia when they traded with the Harappan civilization of the Indus Valley. Trading is greatly important to the global economy. From the very beginning of Greek civilization to the fall of the Roman Empire in the 5th century, a financially worthwhile trade brought valuable spice to Europe from the Far East, including China.

The fall of the Roman Empire, and the succeeding Dark Ages brought insecurity to Western Europe and a near end of the trade network. However some trade did occur, the Radhanites were a medieval group of Jewish merchants who traded between the Christians in Europe and the Muslims of the Near East.

The Sogdians ruled the East-West trade route known as the Silk Road from the end 4th century AD to the 8th century AD.

The Vikings and Varangians also traded from the 8th to the 11th century as they sailed from and to Scandinavia. Vikings sailed to Western Europe, while Varangians to Russia.

Vasco da Gama restarted the European Spice trade in 1498. Earlier to his sailing around Africa, the flow of spice into Europe was controlled by Islamic powers, especially Egypt. The spice trade was of major economic importance and helped encourage the Age of Exploration. Spices brought to Europe from distant lands were some of the most valuable commodities for their weight, sometimes rivaling gold.

In the 16th century, Holland was the centre of free trade, imposing no exchange controls, and advocating the free movement of goods.

In 1776, Adam Smith published the paper “An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations”. This paper criticized Mercantilism, and argued that economic specialization could benefit nations just as much as firms. Since that time the division of labor was restricted by the size of the market, he said that countries having access to larger markets would be able to divide labor more efficiently and thereby become more productive.

The Great Depression was a major economic collapse that ran from 1929 to the late 1930s. There was a great setback in trade and other economic indicators during this period.

The lack of free trade was considered by many as a root cause of the depression. Only during the World War II the recession ended in United States.

History of Money:

The first instances of money were objects with fundamental value are called commodity money and includes any commonly-available commodity that has intrinsic value; historical examples include rare seashells, whale's teeth, and cattle. In medieval Iraq, bread was used as an early form of money.

Roman denarius Currency was introduced as a standardized money to facilitate a wider exchange of goods and services. This first stage of currency metals were used to represent stored value.

As the system of commodity money evolved in many instances it then became representative money.

Current Trends:

Doha round
The Doha round of World Trade Organization negotiations aims to lower barriers to trade around the world, focusing on making trade fairer for developing countries. Talks have been hung over a divide between the rich, developed countries, and the major developing countries. Agricultural subsidies are the most significant issue upon which agreement has been hardest to negotiate. By contrast, there was much agreement on trade facilitation and capacity building.

The Doha round began in Doha, Qatar, and negotiations has subsequently continued in: Cancún, Mexico; Geneva, Switzerland; and Paris, France and Hong Kong.

International organizations
European Common Market
GATT = General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade
G8
IMF = International Monetary Fund
OPEC = Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries

There were a group of traders nicknamed "the turtles" who were taught by trading legend Richard Dennis and the only thing they had in common was - they had never traded before. After 14 days they started to trade and made millions but how do they do it?

First let's look at the background to the experiment.

Richard Dennis believed that everything about trading could be specifically learned and his partner Richard Erkhard disagreed, so Dennis set out to prove his point.

He collected a diverse group together - of all ages, both sexes and varying levels of education. The group contained a Boy fresh from school, a female auditor, a security guard an actor and a couple of professional card players, to name a few.

Dennis then set about teaching them a simple method and the discipline to trade the method. After 14 days they were all set to trade and they started and made him over $100 million dollars and many of them still trade today.

So what was their secret?

The answer is Dennis taught them a simple method but he taught them to have confidence in what they were doing so they would have the discipline to follow their method through periods of losses to achieve long term forex trading success.

What can you learn from the turtles?

The first point is anyone can learn to trade, if they have the right forex education, as forex trading is a learned skill.

Secondly, your method does not need to be complicated - but you need to have confidence in it. Trading is as much in the mind as it is in your method.

If you keep your method simple, you are more likely to understand it and be able to execute it with discipline furthermore, a simple method will tend to work better than a complicated one in the brutal world of trading, as there are fewer elements to break.

One of the keys to the turtles success was their money management techniques. This is a neglected area for many forex traders and most do it simply as an after thought. If you want to win at forex trading, you need to operate a rigorous and well thought out money management plan.

Could you be successful?

Yes - anyone can, you may not be as successful as the group above - but you can achieve currency trading success as it's a learned skill.

Today, many traders think they can simply buy success and there is a huge industry in selling systems with simulated track records that greedy traders buy and of course they don't win.

You don't buy success for a few hundred dollars and no effort!

Not only are most of the trading systems junk - but any trader must learn that success comes from within.

Having a successful method is essential - but so to is having the confidence and discipline to follow it - if you don't have discipline to follow your method you don't have one at all.

Dennis made sure when he taught them that they understood what they were doing so they could have confidence and discipline to follow their plan.

In forex trading mindset is just as important as knowledge.

Forex trading is not a walk in the park and you wouldn't expect it to be, with the rewards on offer but if you have a desire to succeed and you a willingness to acquire the right knowledge and adopt the right mindset you can win.

Forex trading offers limitless opportunities for those traders willing to put in the time and effort to learn a method they can have confidence in and follow with discipline.

Sounds simple?

In essence it is - but you must accept you are in charge of your own financial destiny and you must work smart to win.

Understand the above and you can enjoy currency trading success.

Here we are going to give an introduction to using forex technical analysis and using forex charts for bigger profits. Forex technical analysis if done correctly is the best and most time efficient way of seeking profits and should be considered as part of any forex trading strategy.

The first point to keep in mind is:

Forex technical analysis is a game of odds not of certainties, so forget about predicting with scientific accuracy, no one can achieve that – but if you understand the following equation, you can make big forex profits:

Fundamentals + Investor Psychology = Price

It is a fact that the fundamentals have an influence on price – all investors have the facts at their disposal but they see them in their own way and this mass of millions of people determines forex prices.

Investor psychology

Human psychology is constant and never changes.

Traders will always be influenced by emotion and these emotions of greed and fear, will push prices to far away from fair value and these price spikes are easy to see on forex charts.

The important point to keep in mind is that investor psychology repeats - and so do chart patterns.

Seeing the Whole Picture

Another very important point to keep in mind with forex technical analysis is that it studies the fundamentals.

All it does is simply assume that in today’s world of instant communications, they show up straight way in price action.

Studying forex charts however does something more:

It studies how investors perceive the fundamentals.

Its is not enough to simply look at the facts, as we all draw our own conclusions from what we see and emotions ensure that investors don’t act logically – they push prices to far ( either up or down) based upon their emotions.

Studying forex charts gives you the whole picture - it reflects the fundamentals and more importantly, how investors perceive them.

When using forex charts you don’t care how and why prices move, you simply look at the reality of price and try and make profits from the moves.

It sounds simple as a concept and it is - but it’s extremely powerful and if you incorporate it in your forex trading system, you can make big profits by trading when the odds are on your side.

Forex Technical Analysis Is Time Efficient

Using forex technical analysis is time efficient, you are studying price and don’t need to make assumptions of where they may go based upon the news – you can see the price as it is and simply trade the truth.

Many traders continually look at news and try and trade off it – but this is hard - the fundamentals are discounted instantly and you have very little chance of winning. Furthermore, if you look at the opinion of others your emotions get involved and any trader who lets emotions dictate their forex trading strategy, is destined to lose

Trading forex charts lets you see the reality as it is – no opinions or guessing and that gives you a huge advantage when trading for profits.

Forex Charting is An Art

Of course, all people use forex charts in different ways and it’s an art not a science.

It is similar to being a ships captain – use your charts correctly and you can get from A – B safely and earn a living; use your charts in the wrong way and you will hit the rocks and drown.

There are many myths perpetrated about using forex charts and if fall victim to them and you will lose.

The good news is anyone can become a successful forex chartist and if you follow basic rules, you can trade with the odds on your side and execute your forex trading signals correctly and win.

There is one fact that you need to consider carefully before you engage in FOREX trading and if you do, you could save yourself a lot of money, so here it is:

If 95% of novice currency traders lose, why should you succeed at FOREX Trading?

Think about it carefully, the vast majority of traders get wiped and that’s a proven fact.

Will you lose? If You Believe the Following You Will!

If you want to see if you are going to lose consider the following questions and then we will give you some advice on how to win at online currency trading:

Firstly if you hold these views you will lose:

1. You can make money day trading

Try it and find out. You will lose and lose quickly – more novice traders try day trading than any other method, but it’s doomed to failure as you can never get the odds on your side – period.

2. You can buy success

Don’t all those e-books look enticing on the net?

Scalp 15 – 20 pips a day, make $2,000 dollars a month guaranteed trade with 80% success etc

All for a few hundred dollars!

Of course, these people make their money selling courses NOT trading so they win and you lose.

There is a small minority of FOREX education that you can buy that is worth the money, but most of the so called wisdom is available free on the net and you don’t have to buy it.

Always ask your self the question:

If their that good at trading why do they need to sell advice?

3. You can trade by listening to the news

Many people watch the news and there is plenty of it about.

It’s well thought out, well presented, in many cases very convincing and dead wrong and will help you lose.

Why?

Because news is stories these people are giving you their view (fair enough) but their not traders.

An economist can always give you great arguments for why something has happened, but explaining what is going to happen, is a completely different ball game.

4. You don’t like risk

Many novice traders try so hard to restrict risk they create it – that’s why many are attracted to FOREX day trading.

They tend to place stops to close and give themselves no chance of winning.

If you don’t like risk do something else.

5. What’s your edge?

Ask yourself this question before you trade and think carefully about it.

Why should you win when 95% of traders lose – what’s your advantage?

As we have seen its none of the points discussed above!

If you can’t answer the above question, you don’t have one and odds are you will lose all your money.

Any positive advice?

Yes, the good news is anyone can make money trading FOREX as everything about it can be specifically learned.

What you need to do is accept you are going to do it on your own – no one else can help you, only you can give yourself success.

Then learn the right knowledge.

FOREX trading is actually quite simple but requires a different mindset to other activities; you must acquire the right knowledge and the mindset to win.

FOREX Trading is all about working smart, not working hard and if you learn FOREX trading the right way, you can make a lot of money.

We don’t have to time to go through the above in more detail here but we will cover the mindset to win and the education you need to win in part 2 of this article.

All the forex advice you need to become a successful trader is available on the internet for free.

Here we will show you where to get the best forex advice for free and turn you into a profitable trader.

A common error

A common error made by many novice forex traders is to think that they can buy a system or an e-book from a guru for $100 or so and buy success.

Now, while there is some good forex advice sold on the net, the bulk of it is not worth the money.

Most of it is sold by salesmen (who have never traded) or failed brokers who cant trade and decide they may as well sell advice.

It is common sense that you cannot buy forex success for $100 or so, as if the forex advice worked then it would not be sold.

A quick way to decide if sold forex advice is worth your hard cash is to ask for a real time track record of real money made in the markets.

After that look for a money back guarantee.

If you don’t get both the above don’t buy it.

The reason you should do it on your own is that if you get your own forex advice and study it you will have confidence in it.

This means you will be more likely to follow it with discipline when you come to trade it.

It is far harder to follow someone else’s advice with discipline than your own, as you will always understand your own better.

The internet has all the information you need for free and here are some topics to look up and study

1. Technical analysis

Everything you need to know can be found on the net from advantages to the chart formations.

2. Technical indicators

You will know how to draw charts and what the formations mean from Point 1. Now you need some timing indicators.

Good ones to look up are: Bollinger bands, stochastics, moving averages, RSI and MACD. By all means look up others but the above are the ones we find most useful for entering a market

Go to a free chart service such as futuresource.com and look at them on some live charts.

3. Breakouts

Now you have looked at some charts and some indicators to help you identify and enter trends you need a methodology.

Perhaps the easiest methodology to use is a breakout method.

Look it up.

It’s easy to understand and easy to implement and it works.

4. Putting it altogether.

With the forex advice you have you can build a simple system to trade.

Base the system on breakouts and use chart support and resistance to spot profitable trading set ups.

You can then experiment with various technical indicators to help you enter breakouts.

Our own personal way of trading uses chart support and resistance to set up trades.

We then define entry with stohastics (a momentum indicator) and RSI which is an indication of the strength of the price and that’s it.

There is a lot of forex advice on the net that makes forex trading more difficult than it really is.

In fact, anyone with the free forex advice on the net can build test and implement a system based upon sound logic.

Keep in mind

The majority of traders fail because they lack discipline.

This comes from the fact that they don’t have confidence in their system and throw in the towel as soon as they have a few losses.

By taking some time to build your own system, you will have confidence in it and will be more able to follow it with discipline.

The fact is all the forex advice you need to build and trade a system for yourself is free.

If you put in the time and effort your study will be handsomely rewarded.

Forex Capital Markets are foreign exchange markets where the currencies are been bought and sold continuously for profits. The capital markets of forex are present globally and transactions are non-stop in this forex cash market. Whether its Sydney or Tokyo, one would find aggressive forex dealers and brokers peering into their computer screens and on the telephone for minor changes that might affect this currency trade.

The forex trade is carried out for profits that can be gained by buying and selling of the currencies. Currencies are always bought and sold in pairs. Let us take an example to clarify the forex deal

A trader trades in Euros/ Us Dollars. (All figures are samples only) He purchases 10,000 Euros on Jan 1 when the EUR/USD rate is .9600. Then he sells these Euros at the market rate of 1.1800. On August 1. Therefore he gets 11,800 USD. Thereby making a cool forex transaction profit of USD 2200.

Since all currencies are bought and sold in pairs, one needs to decide the pair of currency that you would like to do your currency transactions in. In this example EUR is the base currency and the USD is called the quote or the counter currency. If you have bought Euros (simultaneously selling dollars), then you have based your decision on the fact that Euros may appreciate in the future. Therefore by selling Euros back into dollars you would be getting more dollars and thus making a profit.

What is Forex or Foreign Exchange: It is the largest financial market in the world, with a volume of more than $1.5 trillion daily, dealing in currencies. Unlike other financial markets, the Forex market has no physical location, no central exchange. It operates through an electronic network of banks, corporations and individuals trading one currency for another.

What about Forecasting: Predicting current and future market trends using existing data and facts. Analysts rely on technical and fundamental statistics to predict the directions of the economy, stock market and individual securities.

For those who trade using the Forex, or foreign currency exchange, knowing how to forecast the Forex can make the difference between trading successfully and losing money. When you begin learning about Forex trading, it is vital that you understand how to forecast the Forex trading market.

There are a few methods that are used when forecasting the Forex. Each system is used to understand how the Forex works and how the fluctuations in the market can affect traders and currency rates. The two methods that are most often used are called technical analysis and fundamental analysis. Both methods differ in their own ways, but each one can help the Forex trader understand how the rates are affecting the currency trade. Most of the time, experienced traders and brokers know each method and use a mixture of the two to trade on the Forex.

When it comes to forex trading the forex software you choose is essential. There are so many forex trading companies all competing for your business that choosing the right forex software can be quite a difficult task. Most of the forex software products available offers live online forex trading platforms but what other components are vital when it comes to your forex software.

Key Elements For Your Forex Software

Before purchasing any forex software there are a few essential items that should be included. The most important is security and your online forex trading software should include a 128 bit SSL encryption which will prevent hackers from accessing any of your personal details and information such as your account balance, transaction history, etc.

Providing the best security for your forex trading will include a company that provides 24 hour technical server support for your forex software, 24 hour maintenance should anything go wrong, daily backups of all information, and a security system that has been designed to prevent any unauthorized access. Along with these security protocols there are also some forex trading companies that use smart cards and fingerprint scanners to ensure that only their employees can have access to their servers.

Another important factor when it comes to choosing your forex software is to check what the company's downtime is like. When it comes to trading forex and particularly your online forex trading you need to ensure that the forex software you choose is reliable and available 24 hours a day. The forex software you choose for your forex trading should also have technical support available at all times should your session be cut short.

Ensuring that all the above features are listed in the forex software you choose will help to ensure your forex trading success.Anyway, a forex software is a must have if you want to earn money.

by Oliver Turner

Forex signals are sent by a forex firm to their subscribers in order to buy and sell currencies. These signals are called entry and exit signals for the forex dealers. The firms, which send this forex signal, do so after tedious and meticulous research and analysis into the currencies that their dealers are trading in. For example a firm may send the entry and exit signals at designated time frames in real time. These will remain valid for a short period only after which they are going to be different.

Let's say that there is a forex trading company say Acme Forex traders who send entry and exit signals to their clients in the following way

The first signal is provided to the trader at 08:30, and this signal is going to remain actual till 12.30

The trader will receive the second signal at 12.30, which would remain actual till 16.30.

The last signal would be sent to the trader at 16.30.

The transactions are given according to GMT. Please adjust for local time changes. The transaction shall be calculated till the signal is actual. The charges would be $300 per month per trader.

Forex dealers and experts provide forex-trading information and data to both institutional clients and individual investors and provide these kind of signals. Investors like to subscribe to credit worthy forex dealers / companies since their information and data would be genuine and more accurate. In fact many forex dealers would kill to get information before the rest of the market gets the same information. As forex dealing is a very competitive business.

These signals or forex indications are given to the forex dealers through the forex trading platform or hub. The signals or forex indicators are the specific entry and exit strategies. Therefore when you enter a currency trade buying currencies at lower price and then selling at higher price, you book a profit. currency pair. For example the forex dealer is trading in GBP/USD. The rate is for GBP/USD is .9800 . If you expect that Euro is likely to go up in the future you would buy the Euros today to sell them off at a later date thereby booking a profit. If you expect the dollars to appreciate, then you would buy the dollars selling them off at a later date to book profits.

Most forex dealers will get the information via email or straight on their computer screens. It is then up to the forex dealers to decide whether they want to sell / buy / hold the currencies till further information is given to them.

Those who contribute in giving the information on currency dealing are hedge managers, foreign exchange dealers located in the major financial markets of the world, professional stock brokers, finance managers and a host of other finance professionals. They make it their business to collect, analyze and disseminate information in such a way, that can be used by forex dealers to buy / sell / hold the forex.

Therefore the companies take extreme care to send the forex signals for the currency dealers.

Access to foreign exchange (forex), the most extensive market on the planet, is generally through an intermediary known as a forex broker. Similar to a stock broker, these agents can also provide advice on forex trading strategies. This advice to clients often extends to technical analysis and research approaches designed to improve client forex trading performance.

Financial institutions are generally the most influential in the forex market through high-volume, large-value forex currency transactions. Historically, banks enjoyed monopolistic access to the forex markets, but through the Internet, any forex speculator can also enjoy 24 hour access to the market via a forex broker.

Secure web connections today allow many forex traders to work from home, where ready access to news and other technical advice informs decisions on what forex positions to take. Similar moves are being made by stock brokers, who are also moving out of banks and other traditional institutions.

Your needs in the market will influence your choice of forex broker. Online forex brokerage firms, known as houses, provide those new to the forex market with detailed research, advice and simulators to learn how to use their forex trading tools. The experienced online forex trader is catered to by other broking houses, with in-depth advice, but less focus on forex trading instruction based on the assumption that you are familiar with the forex market. To make an informed choice, it is advisable to trial several differing online forex broking houses and their trading tools to find the best fit for your needs.

by Jay Moncliff

You guys know how hard it's to find a reliable forex signals and most of the forex signals services are very expensive ranging from $199 to $500 per month. And worse of all, there's no guarantee of this.

To find a good service, you must make sure that you get their free trial before you really subscribe to the service. 1 to 2 weeks is good enought to prove that whether they are reliable or not.

You want to find a forex signals service just because you don't have time or you don't have a good skills in trading forex. I understand your felling and that's why I've created a blog for people who want to get the free forex signals.

But I have day job as well. I don't post forex signals every day but if you can catch some, you got your money into the bank! :)

By that, I wish you to have a good trading in forex world!

Take care and God bless.

by Elisha Gan

A lot of people have been 'burnt' from scam operations on the Internet. Their sites may look so perfectly legitimate that you doubt whether they would have gone through all that trouble building a trading platform just to steal your money. Beware.

The first thing I look for is the geographical location of the broker. If I find that they are based in a country where the financial industry is, in my opinion, relatively unregulated and under-developed, I quickly forgo signing up. This is terrible news for honest brokers in those countries, but your job as a trader is to protect your capital. If you lose that, then you cannot trade. The onus is on them to convince you that they will do the right thing by you as an investor.

I started out with an Australian broker. Currently I am using an American one. I have not tried UK-based brokers but the British financial industry is one of the best. Companies that are based in countries such as Japan , Germany and France are probably just as good too, if their website speaks your language.

Notice any license numbers that they may have registered with regulatory bodies that act like government watchdogs who oversee the finance and investments industries. These are organisations that impose strict rules to safeguard your investment. Some of these rules may include the requirement that brokers segregate all customer funds from the operational funds of the business. Your money is required to be put in highly-reputable banks and the funds are only withdrawn from these accounts upon specific withdrawal requests.

Take note that there are some fake regulatory bodies being thrown around in cyber-space as well. Take a look at how long they have been operating for. Try and search out any reviews or comments made about them. See if you can find forums where traders have discussions about their brokers.

Below is a list of things to keep in mind to help you avoid being a victim of a scam:

Stay Away From Opportunities That Sound Too Good To Be True

There are people who may have just acquired a large amount of money just and recently are the same and are shopping around for safe investment vehicles. These may include retirees who have access to their retirement funds. It is understandable why retirees would be drawn to 'high-return, low-risk investments'. This is also what makes them very vulnerable. If you identify yourself to be one of these people, be careful. A lot of deceitful characters are after your money. Furthermore, only allocate a tiny amount of your money to trading until you can start growing it. Not all people can trade successfully, so it is a venture you should take on haphazardly. It is your life savings at risk.

Avoid Individuals Or Organizations Who Claim To Predict Or Guarantee Large Profits

Any form of trading is hard. Trading currencies is no different. Be wary of statements that make it sound easy. Statements like:

"Whether the market moves up or down, in the currency market you will make a profit";

"Make $1000 per week, every week";

"We are out-performing 90% of domestic investments";

"You'll make returns of 70% a year";

"Here is a no-risk strategy".

If they could make such returns, why would they even bother letting you know about it.

Be Wary Of Companies Who Downplay Investment Risks

Hold your wallet tight and zip up your purse when companies say that written risk disclosure agreements are routine formalities imposed by the government. Watch out for statements like:

"With a $10,000 deposit, the maximum you can lose is $200 to $250 per day";

" We promise to recover any losses you have ".

Be Wary Of Companies That Claim To Trade In The 'Interbank Market'

Do not believe it when some people say that they have access to the 'Interbank market' or that they can give you access to trade in that market because that's where bargain prices can be obtained. This is not true. The 'interbank market' is not a place, it is not a physical building. It is simply a loose network of currency transactions that are negotiated between big financial institutions and other large companies.

Ethnic Minorities Are Often Targeted

Ethnic newspapers and television 'infomercials' are sometimes used to attract Russian, Chinese and Indian minorities. Sometimes these ads offer so-called 'job opportunities for account executives to trade foreign currencies', whereby the recruited 'account executive' is expected to use his own money to trade currencies and would often times be encouraged to recruit members like their friends and family to do the same.

Seek Out The Company's Background

Check any information you receive to be sure that the company is who they claim to be. If at all possible, try and get the background of the people operating the company. Do not rely solely on oral statements and promises made by the company's employees.

If You Are In Doubt, It Is Not Worth Risking Your Money

If after trying to solicit information and at the end of it all, you are still in doubt about the credentials of a particular company, my suggestion is to start looking elsewhere.

You may find further information by contacting government 'watchdogs' because they keep up to date with trends and reports regarding scams and other fraudulent activities. Please check the resource section of this site for the information of organizations that regulate the securities industry, sorted by country. There is also a list of brokers that you may want to look at.

This is an excerpt, modified from the book: The Part-Time Currency Trader.

by Marquez Comelab